THE USE OF BEHAVIORAL SURVEYS IN FORECASTING TRANSPORTATION REQUIREMENTS

THIS PAPER HIGHLIGHTS SOME OF THE IMPORTANT RESULTS OBTAINED FROM A NATIONWIDE SURVEY OF URBAN HOUSEHOLDS CONDUCTED BY THE SURVEY RESEARCH CENTER OF THE UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN, AND SHOWS HOW BEHAVIORAL SURVEYS OF THIS TYPE CAN BE USED TO IMPROVE FORECASTING PROCEDURES USED IN URBAN TRANSPORTATION PLANNING. THE FINDINGS ARE BASED ON 824 HOME INTERVIEWS IN ABOUT 30 STANDARD METROPOLITAN STATISTICAL AREAS. INFORMATION WAS COLLECTED AND ANALYZED ON RECENT RESIDENTIAL MOVES, TRAVEL HABITS, SOCIO-ECONOMIC CHARACTERISTICS OF HOUSEHOLDS, AND ATTITUDES AND PREFERENCES REGARDING THE CHOICE OF RESIDENTIAL LOCATION AND MODE OF TRAVEL ON THE JOURNEY TO WORK. THE CRITICAL FACTORS INFLUENCING HOUSEHOLDS DECISIONS ON RESIDENTIAL LOCATION AND MODE OF TRAVEL ARE IDENTIFIED, AND SEVERAL CONCLUSIONS ARE DRAWN ABOUT THE IMPLICATIONS OF THE FINDINGS FOR FUTURE PATTERNS OF URBAN DEVELOPMENT AND TRANSPORTATION SYSTEMS USAGE. THE PAPER REVIEWS CURRENTLY USED METHODS OF FORECASTING RESIDENTIAL LAND USE AND TRIP GENERATION, AND SHOWS HOW, IN LIGHT OF THE FINDINGS OF THE UNIVERSITY OF MICHIGAN STUDY, SIGNIFICANT IMPROVEMENTS IN THESE METHODS CAN BE MADE BY TAKING A MORE BEHAVIORAL APPROACH IN MODEL BUILDING. /AUTHOR/

Media Info

  • Media Type: Print
  • Features: References; Tables;
  • Pagination: pp 44-51
  • Monograph Title: Economic forecasting
  • Serial:

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Filing Info

  • Accession Number: 00201122
  • Record Type: Publication
  • Files: TRIS, TRB
  • Created Date: Nov 18 1994 12:00AM