TRENDS IN AUTOMOBILE OWNERSHIP AND INDICATORS OF SATURATION

TRENDS IN AUTOMOBILE OWNERSHIP AND THE EFFECTS OF UNDERLYING SOCIAL FACTORS ARE EXAMINED HERE IN A BROAD PERSPECTIVE FOR THE PURPOSE OF DEVELOPING INDICATORS OF POTENTIAL GROWTH AND SATURATION IN THE RATIO OF AUTOMOBILES TO POPULATION. THE HISTORICAL GROWTH OF AUTOMOBILE OWNERSHIP RATES FOR THE NATION AS A WHOLE IS RECAPITULATED. THE GROWTH RATE IN AUTOMOBILE OWNERSHIP FOR THE TEN STATES WITH THE LARGEST INCREASE IN AUTOMOBILE REGISTRATIONS IS COMPARED WITH THE GROWTH RATE IN THE GROUP OF REMAINING STATES, INDICATING THE EFFECT OF INCREASING URBANIZATION. RATES OF GROWTH IN AUTOMOBILE OWNERSHIP FOR SELECTED STATES ARE STUDIED IN RELATION TO THE MAJOR DETERMINING FACTORS IN EACH STATE WITH PARTICULAIR ATTENTION TO THE EFFECT OF GROWING URBANIZATION. THIS STUDY IS A FIRST STEP TOWARD DEVELOPMENT OF A MODEL WHICH COULD BE USED TO GAGE THE POTENTIAL GROWTH OF AUTOMOBILES AND INDICATE THE POINT AT WHICH THE RATIO OF AUTOMOBILES TO POPULATION HAS REACHED OR WILL REACH SATURATION LEVEL IN A PARTICULAR GEOGRAPHIC AREA. /AUTHOR/

Media Info

  • Media Type: Print
  • Features: Figures; References; Tables;
  • Pagination: pp 1-21
  • Monograph Title: Economic forecasting
  • Serial:

Subject/Index Terms

Filing Info

  • Accession Number: 00201118
  • Record Type: Publication
  • Files: TRIS, TRB
  • Created Date: Nov 18 1994 12:00AM