The planning of air cargo terminal systems requires accurate forecasts of demand, particularly of the impact of points of cargo origin and destination on demand. A methodology for this problem should meet three criteria if it is to be useful for airport planning. It must use low-cost and generally available data; it must be based on cargo shipper and receiver behavior; and it must allow for the transferability of results required for general forecasting. This paper describes a methodology based on econometric analysis of data from a number of small geographic areas within the Baltimore-Washington region. Tests of the method were performed by the Maryland Department of Transportation as part of a Maryland Aviation System Plan designed to address the current status of all aviation facilities in the state and to prepare recommendations for any required expansion or development. This case study suggests that the method is a useful tool for forecasting the arrival and departure of air cargo within the region but that it is not necessarily adequate for testing whether policy changes affect demand. /Authors/

Media Info

  • Media Type: Print
  • Features: Figures; References; Tables;
  • Pagination: pp 194-197
  • Monograph Title: Transportation forecasting and travel behavior
  • Serial:

Subject/Index Terms

Filing Info

  • Accession Number: 00196012
  • Record Type: Publication
  • Files: TRIS, TRB
  • Created Date: Sep 15 1979 12:00AM