A Method to Estimate the Probability of a Train Encountering Gusts in an Operating Section

The number of train accidents caused by strong winds has followed a downward trend since the commercial opening of Japanese railways in 1872. Specifically, the number of accidents per train kilometer decreased remarkably to 1/100th of its original level over a period of 100 years. This reduction is considered to result from the regulation of train operation. The probability of trains encountering winds of a critical speed can be reduced through train operation suspension for a certain number of minutes in particular sections. This paper introduces a method to calculate the probability of trains encountering winds of a critical speed in cases where they follow operating regulations strictly.

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  • Authors:
    • Imai, Toshiaki
    • Araki, Keiji
    • Fukuhara, Takaaki
  • Publication Date: 2009-11

Language

  • English

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Filing Info

  • Accession Number: 01150862
  • Record Type: Publication
  • Files: TRIS
  • Created Date: Feb 5 2010 5:00PM