Intercity travel demand in the Washington Subcorridor of the West Coast Corridor has been rising and will continue to do so in the future, based on the projected rising population and increasing per capita income. The extent of the growth in travel demand will depend to a large degree on the price of fuel and the achievement of federally mandated automobile fuel efficiencies. A price elasticity of -.28 percent was found for gasoline within the State of Washington. Population growth is projected to be greatest in suburban areas not well served currently by public transportation. Following current trends, each travel mode would gain additional riders with automobile travel growing most. An expansion of intercity bus service would be profitable under low, medium and high priced fuel scenarios. Railroad passenger ridership could more than quadruple with vastly improved service, but the annual operating losses would be very substantial and the total ridership still remain small. The capital construction costs would be enormous. Highway travel is expected to grow between 60 percent and 200 percent depending on the price of gasoline. During an energy shortage intercity bus has the greatest potential for moving people using a minimum of fuel. Intercity rail is second best. The automobile and aircraft mode have the lowest fuel efficiency. The Federal Railroad Administration's proposed restructuring of Amtrak will reduce the subcorridor's railroad ridership by one-half.

  • Corporate Authors:

    Federal Railroad Administration

    1200 New Jersey Avenue, SE
    Washington, DC  United States  20590
  • Authors:
    • Cowan, G R
    • Horn, A L
    • Guillot, E D
    • Heller, T A
  • Publication Date: 1978-9

Media Info

  • Pagination: 498 p.

Subject/Index Terms

Filing Info

  • Accession Number: 00199121
  • Record Type: Publication
  • Source Agency: National Technical Information Service
  • Contract Numbers: DOT-FR-6041
  • Files: NTIS, USDOT
  • Created Date: Dec 19 2002 12:00AM