The study describes the development of a model to predict potential patronage for transit in rural and small urban areas of less than 50,000. Patronage was developed through a home interview survey in which respondents were asked to rank relative satisfaction with their trip making ability. This information was then related to their socioeconomic characteristics and desire to make trips. This was done for ten representative sites in California. A procedure was then developed to match the representative sites to similar areas, which is known as a site pairing technique. One study objective was to develop a methodology useful for determining the location and magnitude of public transportation needs in rural and small urban areas. The methodology could have application to suggesting a uniform approach to determining transit needs and to recommending public transportation legislation and implementation programs to effectively utilize existing and future resources. Another study objective was to provide training opportunities for the California Department of Transportation's (CALTRANS') employees to gain experience in public transportation planning activities. The study points out that in interpreting the results of the survey, one has to use caution, because the model estimates potential patronage, and not demand. Thus, the figures obtained are, at first glance, quite high. The study concludes that the site-pairing technique has potential to save a considerable amount of effort when analyzing many locations.

  • Corporate Authors:

    California Department of Transportation

    Division of Mass Transportation, 5900 Folsom Boulevard
    Sacramento, CA  United States  95807

    Urban Mass Transportation Administration

    400 7th Street, SW
    Washington, DC  United States  20590
  • Authors:
    • Millikin, N H
  • Publication Date: 1978-10

Media Info

  • Pagination: 87 p.

Subject/Index Terms

Filing Info

  • Accession Number: 00197458
  • Record Type: Publication
  • Source Agency: National Technical Information Service
  • Report/Paper Numbers: UMTA-CA-09-8001-79-3Final Rpt., DMT-042
  • Contract Numbers: DOT-UMTA-CA-09-8001
  • Created Date: Jul 31 1979 12:00AM