TRADING PROSPECTS FOR DRY BULK CARRIERS: TONNAGE BALANCE IN DRY BULK TRADES THROUGH TO THE MID-1980'S

The aim of the survey is to quantify the requirement for dry bulk carriers through to 1985 and, through a comparison with the projected supply of both bulk carriers and combined carriers, provide an up-to-date assessment of the trading prospects. The survey is structured as follows: Methodology: The productivity, or efficiency, of dry bulk shipping and approach to the problem of forecasting demand. Problems associated with projecting the supply of dry bulk shipping. Market share of dry bulk ships, and the participation of combined carriers in trade. Development of Dry Bulk Shipping and Trade: Definition of dry bulk cargo, and review of the past development of trade globally. Pattern of shipments and structure of dry bulk trade. Types and sizes of ship transporting dry bulk trade, and shipping practices in the principal commodity trades. Forecast Growth of Dry Bulk Trade: In-depth reviews of the factors affecting trade in the three major commodities-iron ore, coal and grain. Forecasts of trade-in tonnes-for these commodities, as well as all other categories of dry bulk cargo, through to 1985. Re-assessment of trends in the minor bulk trades. Forecast Demand for Dry Bulk Shipping: Forecast tonne-miles generated by the growth of world dry bulk trade. Forecast tonne-mile transport requirements, by type and size of ship. Demand, in DWT, for (a) bulk carriers and (b) combined carriers in each of the following size categories: 20-35,000 DWT; 35-50,000 DWT; 50-80,000 DWT; 80-100,000 DWT; 100-150,000 DWT and 150,000 DWT and above. DWT requirements by commodity trade. Supply of Dry Bulk Shipping: Size, and structure, of the world dry bulk shipping fleet. Projected supply, 1979-85, allowing for newbuildings as well as deletions through scrapping, loss or conversion. Tonnage Balance in Dry Bulk Trades: Present oversupply and prospective change in supply-demand balance through to 1985. Trading Prospects for Dry Bulk Shipping: Assessment of trading outlook based on analysis of demand, and tonnage availability. Economics of Dry Bulk Carrier Operation: Overview of competitive cost factors, including the acquisition of new and secondhand tonnage, and operating expenses. Competition in the dry bulk shipping industry, and the changing trading environment.

  • Corporate Authors:

    Drewry (HP) (Shipping Consultants) Limited

    Research Division, 24 Brook Street
    London W1Y 2LL,   England 
  • Publication Date: 0

Media Info

  • Pagination: 140 p.

Subject/Index Terms

Filing Info

  • Accession Number: 00196263
  • Record Type: Publication
  • Source Agency: HPD Shipping Publications
  • Files: TRIS
  • Created Date: Sep 15 1979 12:00AM