ESTIMATING EFFECTS OF RAILROAD ABANDONMENT

Estimates were developed of the potential for rail-service termination and of the probable transport-related effects that such loss of rail service would have on the freight-transport system, transport costs of affected rail users, resulting public- and private-sector investment requirements and energy consumption. All estimates were developed for lines on which service either had been recently terminated or might be terminated in the future. A survey was conducted of a sample of users of these lines. Estimates of the overall effects of abandonment were developed by a computer program from an analysis of survey responses and from waybill data for shipments originating or terminating on the lines under study. About 80 percent of present rail shipments to or from facilities that lose rail service would continue to be made to or from these facilities by another mode, with most of these made entirely by truck or by a combination of truck and rail. About half of the remaining shipments would continue to be made to or from other locations in the general area. The average increase in transport-related expenditures of affected rail users would be about 17 percent of present railroad charges. It was also estimated that abandonment of the lightest density lines under study would generally result in a small reduction in fuel consumption, while abandonment of uneconomic lines with more moderate traffic densities would result in increased fuel consumption. /Author/

Media Info

  • Features: References; Tables;
  • Pagination: p. 17-21
  • Monograph Title: Freight movement and demand
  • Serial:

Subject/Index Terms

Filing Info

  • Accession Number: 00189865
  • Record Type: Publication
  • Files: TRIS, TRB
  • Created Date: Apr 12 1979 12:00AM