This study revises LBL--6831(Vols. I and II) (EAPA 4: 1471 and 1054), largely in response to Amory Lovins article, "Energy Strategy: The Road Not Taken", in Foreign Affairs (Oct. 1976). The study addresses circumstances under which the State of California might become energy self-sufficient by the year 2025, relying entirely upon its indigenous renewable resources. The question is posed under deliberately conservative assumptions--the state's population would nearly double by 2025, the size of the state's economy would triple, fuel imports from other states and abroad would be excluded, and significant technological advances would not occur. These restrictive assumptions were adopted as a forcing device--forcing the analysis to examine questions of soft-path feasibility in California in the most critical possible fashion. The analysis also identifies areas where major additional work is needed, such as the need for extensive application of conservation practices, the economic feasibility of renewable-based energy systems, the land-use issues associated with widespread use of solar systems, the difficulty in meeting liquid--fuel demands if present trends in automobile use continue, and the unsolved questions of a gradual transition from a fossil-based economy.

  • Corporate Authors:

    University of California, Berkeley

    Berkeley, CA  United States  94720

    University of California, Davis

    Pavement Research Center, One Shields Avenue
    Davis, CA  United States  95616

    Department of Energy

    1000 Independence Avenue, SW
    Washington, DC  United States  20585
  • Publication Date: 1978-5

Media Info

  • Pagination: 682 p.

Subject/Index Terms

Filing Info

  • Accession Number: 00192186
  • Record Type: Publication
  • Source Agency: National Technical Information Service
  • Contract Numbers: W-7405-ENG-48
  • Files: TRIS
  • Created Date: Jul 11 1979 12:00AM