Mixed Routing Strategies for Hazardous Materials: Decision-Making Under Complete Uncertainty

Prior work on the risk-averse routing of hazardous materials has focused on ways of finding a single safest route between a pair of points. For repeated shipments where there is complete uncertainty about link incident probabilities, it is shown that the safest strategy in general, is to use a mix of routes. Starting with a simple 2-route example, it is shown that maximum exposure can be significantly reduced by sharing shipments between routes. In order to determine the safest set of routes and the safest share of traffic between these routes, a minmax problem is formulated which considers both the loss in the event of an incident and shipment (travel) cost. Connections to game theory provide useful insights into the nature of the solution. The properties of the optimality conditions are explored leading to the formulation of an equivalent linear programming problem.

• Availability:
  • Find a library where document is available. Order URL: http://worldcat.org/issn/15568318
• Supplemental Notes:
  • Abstract reprinted with permission from Taylor and Francis
• Authors:
  • Bell, Michael G H
• Publication Date: 2007-4

Language

• English

Media Info

• Media Type: Print
• Features: Figures; References; Tables;
• Pagination: pp 133-142
• Serial:
  • International Journal of Sustainable Transportation
  • Volume: 1
  • Issue Number: 2
  • Publisher: Taylor & Francis
  • ISSN: 1556-8318
  • EISSN: 1556-8334
  • Serial URL: http://www.tandfonline.com/loi/ujst20

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Decision making; Decision support systems; Game theory; Hazardous materials; Itinerary; Risk assessment; Risk management; Route choice; Routes and routing; Uncertainty
• Subject Areas: Highways; Planning and Forecasting; Safety and Human Factors; I72: Traffic and Transport Planning;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 01053766
• Record Type: Publication
• Files: TRIS
• Created Date: Jul 11 2007 5:06PM