Predicting Decade-Long Changes in Community Motor Vehicle Theft Rates: Impacts of Structure and Surround

This article considers long-term changes in community motor vehicle theft (MVT) rates, an under-researched crime. The authors report on a study of police data on MVTs in one Midwestern city that compares rates in 1990-1991 with those in 2000-2001, linked with census block group data. The data showed that MVT rates went up later in communities that were initially more racially mixed. MVT rates also went up in those communities surrounded by initially higher MVT rates. The authors conclude that extant community structure and surrounding crime have a role in generating subsequently higher MVT rates. A second series of models links changing MVT rates with contemporaneously increasing racial heterogeneity, decreasing community instability, and increasing surrounding MVT rates. The article also lists areas of needed research in the areas of resident-based, target-linked, and offender-dependent processes.

  • Availability:
  • Authors:
    • Walsh, Jeffry A
    • Taylor, Ralph B
  • Publication Date: 2007-2


  • English

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Filing Info

  • Accession Number: 01052120
  • Record Type: Publication
  • Files: TRIS
  • Created Date: Jun 28 2007 10:01AM