TEMPORAL STABILITY AND FORECASTING ABILITY OF TRIP GENERATION MODELS IN READING

The paper examines the temporal stability of trip generation models, and the accuracy of current forecasting methods. Three methods were used to explain trip generation. The first adopts the traditional approach of applying multiple regression analysis to explain zonal trips in terms of zonal characteristics. The second method uses the main alternative of category analysis or, more generally, the cross classification of household trip rates. With the growing interest in household regression for conserving the variability of household trip data, the third approach applies regression analysis directly to the household data. All three methods are examined for the degree of representation which they provide at zone level for the temporal stability of the explanation and for the ability of the 1962 mode to produce satisfactory 1971 zonal forecasts. /TRRL/

Media Info

  • Features: References; Tables;
  • Pagination: p. 272-288

Subject/Index Terms

Filing Info

  • Accession Number: 00184293
  • Record Type: Publication
  • Source Agency: Transport and Road Research Laboratory (TRRL)
  • Files: ITRD, TRIS, ATRI
  • Created Date: Jan 13 1981 12:00AM