A RAIL FREIGHT FORECASTING MODEL FOR THE STRATEGIC RAIL AUTHORITY

This paper describes how the UK Strategic Rail Authority (SRA) is responsible for developing strategies for both passenger and rail freight. The transfer of freight from the road to the rail has a high priority. In order to aid the development of this strategy, and to understand the potential for the growth of freight, a policy-sensitive freight demand forecasting model was devised. The initial version of the model, which was delivered August 2000, produced only national forecasts, and the revised version, delivered March 2002, is capable of use with regional and corridor data. The philosophy behind this model has been to combine an econometric approach to forecasting total freight transport demand using the real world understanding of the transport decision-making process. In order to achieve this, the study team combined the forecasting expertise of Leeds ITS, the freight expertise and transport modeling expertise of Sinclair Knight Merz, with the practical railway experience of AEAT rail and specialist advisors with an intimate understanding of the freight market and the results are discussed in the paper.

• Record URL:
  http://abstracts.aetransport.org/conference/index/id/8
• Availability:
  • Find a library where document is available. Order URL: http://etcproceedings.org/conference
• Supplemental Notes:
  • Full Conference Proceedings available on CD-ROM.
• Corporate Authors:

  Association for European Transport (AET)

  1 Vernon Mews, Vernon Street, West Kensington
  London W14 0RL,    
• Authors:
  • Hawthorne, J
  • BROOKER, I
  • ASHLEY, D
• Conference:
  • European Transport Conference 2002
  • Location: Homerton College, Cambridge, England
  • Date: 2002-9-9 to 2002-9-11
• Publication Date: 2002

Language

• English

Media Info

• Pagination: 18 p.
• Monograph Title: ADAPTIVE TRAFFIC CONTROLLED ROUNDABOUTS. ASSOCIATION OF EUROPEAN TRANSPORT 2002 CONFERENCE
• Serial:
  • Publication of: Association for European Transport
  • Publisher: Association for European Transport (AET)
  • ISSN: 1474-9122

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Competition; Forecasting; Freight and passenger services; Freight and passenger traffic; Freight service; Passenger service; Quality of service; Traffic congestion; Transportation planning; Travel demand; Travel patterns
• Geographic Terms: Europe
• Subject Areas: Freight Transportation; Operations and Traffic Management; Passenger Transportation; Planning and Forecasting; Railroads; I72: Traffic and Transport Planning;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00932512
• Record Type: Publication
• ISBN: 0860503402
• Files: TRIS
• Created Date: Oct 28 2003 12:00AM