OUTDOOR RECREATION DEMAND MODELLING

The work described in this paper appears to be the first attempt to set up a fairly complete simulation model of outdoor recreational travel. At present this model is being used to formulate and evaluate management policies for the geelong region. It seems likely that the methodology could have wide application; however a number of issues still await resolution - the formulation of a suitable list of socio-economic descriptors, the aggregation problem, the problem of reportage of vacational travel - are but a few. Nevertheless recreational travel is a large and growing percentage of all travel and the provision of access and the presentation of environmental stability at sites requires informed decision-making - models such as this can assist. A possible shortcoming of the Geelong model is that it does not offer any insights into how demand will be influenced by changes in site conditions, other than site access costs. The paper has presented a theoretical framework for including attitudinal data into the model structure which will improve the model's ability to cope with such changes. It is important to note that the inclusion of attitudinal data does not change the logic of the model structure; it merely adds more explanatory variables. /Author/TRRL/

  • Availability:
  • Supplemental Notes:
    • Australian Transport Research Forum. Fourth Annual Meeting, May 24-26, 1978, Perth, Forum Papers.
  • Corporate Authors:

    Western Australia Director General of Transport

    68 St. Georges TCE
    Perth, Western Australia,   Australia 

    Director General of Transport Western Australia

    68 St Georges Terrace
    Perth, Western Australia,   Australia 
  • Authors:
    • Skinner, R C
    • Symons, JSV
  • Publication Date: 1978

Media Info

Subject/Index Terms

Filing Info

  • Accession Number: 00183506
  • Record Type: Publication
  • Source Agency: Transport and Road Research Laboratory (TRRL)
  • Report/Paper Numbers: Book
  • Files: ITRD, TRIS, ATRI
  • Created Date: Dec 29 1978 12:00AM