The conclusions reached are that demand for new ships will be minimal, consisting mainly of replacement vessels as the current fleet ages and that government involvement will continue to grow. Oil prices will remain high, and though there will be a rise in other sources of energy, no substitute source will replace oil. There will be changing oil distribution patterns; the increased use of pipelines and the Suez Canal to transport oil will reduce the demand for ships, as will the shortened haulage routes of Alaskan and North Sea oil to their markets. In dry goods transportation, the trend will continue toward unit load vessels, particularly in the industrialized countries. There will be a shift of orders for simple bulk vessels to the developing countries, where costs are low, and of the more sophisticated vessels to the traditional shipbuilding countries, which have the necessary technology and skilled labor. The major labor problem is in productivity and practices. The Japanese became the top builders because they were more efficient than others. There will not be any major technological advances the study predicts. Increased use of computers for both design, building, and maintenance scheduling will be seen. Reduced to its simplest terms, the problem of the next ten years is to build demand.

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  • Corporate Authors:

    Traffic Service Corporation

    Washington Building
    Washington, DC  United States  20005
  • Publication Date: 1978-9-18

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Filing Info

  • Accession Number: 00183191
  • Record Type: Publication
  • Source Agency: Traffic Service Corporation
  • Files: TRIS
  • Created Date: Oct 31 1978 12:00AM