Air Traffic Management Accident Risk. Part I: The Limits of Realistic Modelling.

The prime goal of the Air Traffic Management (ATM) system is to control accident risk. In this article, some key questions are posed, including: What do design safety targets really mean and imply for risk modeling? In what circumstances can future accident risk really be modeled with sufficient precision? If risk cannot be estimated with precision, then how is safety to be assured with traffic growth and operational/technical changes? The authors endeavor to answer these questions by an analysis of the nature of accidents, causal factors and practical collision risk modeling. The main theme is how best to combine sound safety evidence and real-world hazard analysis in a coherent and systematic framework.

• Availability:
  • Find a library where document is available. Order URL: http://worldcat.org/issn/09257535
• Supplemental Notes:
  • Abstract reprinted with permission from Elsevier.
• Authors:
  • Brooker, Peter
• Publication Date: 2006-6

Language

• English

Media Info

• Media Type: Print
• Features: Figures; References; Tables;
• Pagination: pp 419-450
• Serial:
  • Safety Science
  • Volume: 44
  • Issue Number: 5
  • Publisher: Elsevier
  • ISSN: 0925-7535
  • Serial URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/09257535

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Air traffic control; Hazard analysis; Probability; Risk analysis
• Uncontrolled Terms: Causal factors; Collision risk; Formal safety assessment; Modeling; Probabilistic risk analysis
• Subject Areas: Aviation; Data and Information Technology; Operations and Traffic Management; Safety and Human Factors;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 01041224
• Record Type: Publication
• Files: TRIS
• Created Date: Jan 30 2007 1:28PM