CONCEPTS FOR ANALYSIS OF MASSIVE SPILL ACCIDENT RISK IN MARITIME BULK LIQUID TRANSPORT

The paper is the result of an effort to identify concepts, methods, and problems concerning quantitative and systematic analysis of the risk of major pollution, events resulting from tank vessel accidents. The purpose of the paper is to offer guidance to government or nongovernment project officials in attempting to conduct actual risk analyses. On the other hand, the guidance in the paper is tentative (pending implementation) and represents the opinions of the author rather than official U.S. Coast Guard policy. The major conclusions in the paper are that available methodologies, data, and technologies are insufficient for this problem, thereby requiring significant innovation for successful conduct of an analysis. Among the requirements are: a reorientation in the concept of the 'cause' of an accident, definition, and estimation of functions to express the energy levels which will rupture tanks under various circumstances, definition, and collection of data on accident exposure, understanding, and mathematically formalizing interrelated factors in accident risk, postulating alternative corrective actions and assessing the probable real world effectiveness of each potential corrective action.

  • Corporate Authors:

    United States Coast Guard

    Applied Technology Division
    Washington, DC  USA 
  • Authors:
    • Gardenier II, J S
  • Publication Date: 1972-6

Media Info

  • Pagination: 63 p.

Subject/Index Terms

Filing Info

  • Accession Number: 00040922
  • Record Type: Publication
  • Source Agency: National Technical Information Service
  • Files: TRIS
  • Created Date: Feb 14 1973 12:00AM