DEMAND MODELLING OF PASSENGER AIR TRAVEL: AN ANALYSIS AND EXTENSION. VOLUME 1: BACKGROUND AND SUMMARY
The framework for a model of travel demand which will be useful in predicting the total market for air travel between two cities is discussed. Variables to be used in determining the need for air transportation where none currently exists and the effect of changes in system characteristics on attracting latent demand are identified. Existing models are examined in order to provide insight into their strong points and shortcomings. Much of the existing behavioral research in travel demand is incorporated to allow the inclusion of non-economic factors, such as convenience. The model developed is characterized as a market segmentation model. This is a consequence of the strengths of disaggregation and its natural evolution to a usable aggregate formulation. The need for this approach both pedagogically and mathematically is discussed.
University of Virginia, CharlottesvilleCenter for Transportation Studies, P.O. Box 400742
Charlottesville, VA United States 22904-4742
- JACOBSON, I D
- Publication Date: 1978-8
- Pagination: 36 p.
- TRT Terms: Air transportation; Data reduction; Demand; Econometrics; Economic factors; Economic forecasting; Forecasting; Market research; Mathematical models; Passenger aircraft; Reliability; Safety; Social factors; Travel demand
- Subject Areas: Aviation; Economics; Passenger Transportation; Planning and Forecasting; Safety and Human Factors; Society;
- Accession Number: 00185786
- Record Type: Publication
- Source Agency: National Technical Information Service
- Report/Paper Numbers: NASA-CR-157469 Final Rpt., UVA/528148/MAE78/101-V-1
- Contract Numbers: NSG-7266
- Files: TRIS
- Created Date: Dec 29 1979 12:00AM