Application of Multi-Criteria Decision Making and Risk Analysis to Congestion Management

This paper describes how two operations research decision making tools, Multicriteria Decision Making (MCDM) and Risk Analysis (RA), were applied within a congestion management system for selecting among corridor improvement options. These two tools were used in conjunction with transportation system modeling techniques. Each corridor improvement option is defined to have certain consequences with respect to the decision maker's goals. The measures of the consequences are estimated or forecast by the UMTA four-step modeling process and by traffic simulations using NETSIM. Air quality measures are estimated using MOBILE5a. Uncertainty in the future operating environment is also included in the procedure. The procedure is demonstrated through a simple hypothetical application in which two alternatives are compared. The example shows that the concepts involved are relatively easy to learn and use. Off-the-shelf software, which is available to implement these tools, provides useful sensitivity analysis features which are discussed as part of this paper.

• Record URL:
  http://cdm15019.contentdm.oclc.org/cdm/compoundobject/collection/p128501coll2/id/48578/rec/1
• 
• Corporate Authors:

  University of Connecticut, Storrs

  Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, 261 Glenbrook Road
  Storrs, CT  United States  06269-2037

  Connecticut Department of Transportation

  280 West Street
  Rocky Hill, CT  United States  06067
• Authors:
  • Davis, Christian
  • Ivan, John N
  • Campbell, Gerard
• Publication Date: 1996-9-30

Language

• English

Media Info

• Media Type: Web
• Edition: Final Report
• Features: Figures; References; Tables;
• Pagination: 28p

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Air quality; Alternatives analysis; Congestion management systems; Decision making; Decision support systems; Future; Highway corridors; Multiple criteria decision making; Operations research; Risk analysis; Sensitivity analysis; Software; Traffic congestion; Traffic simulation; Uncertainty
• Identifier Terms: MOBILEa highway vehicle emission factor model; Netsim (Computer program)
• Subject Areas: Highways; Operations and Traffic Management; Planning and Forecasting; I72: Traffic and Transport Planning; I73: Traffic Control;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 01005990
• Record Type: Publication
• Report/Paper Numbers: JHR 96-252, Project 95-1
• Files: TRIS, STATEDOT
• Created Date: Oct 6 2005 1:45PM