Air Traffic at Three Swiss Airports: Application of Stamp in Forecasting Future Trends

This paper presents forecasting trends for numbers of air passengers and aircraft movements at the three main airports in Switzerland: Zurich, Geneva, and Basel. The case of Swiss airports was affected in the recent past not only by the September 11, 2001, terrorist attacks but also by the bankruptcy of the national carrier, Swissair, that same year. A structural time series model (STS) is created using Stamp software to facilitate forecasting. Results, based on readily available data (i.e., passengers and movements), show that STS models yield good forecasts even in a relatively long run of four years.

• Record URL:
  http://www.bts.gov/publications/journal_of_transportation_and_statistics/volume_08_number_01/html/paper_02/index.html
• Availability:
  • Find a library where document is available. Order URL: http://worldcat.org/oclc/37387952
• Authors:
  • Scaglione, Miriam
  • Mungall, Andrew
• Publication Date: 2005

Language

• English

Media Info

• Media Type: Print
• Features: Appendices; Figures; References; Tables;
• Pagination: pp 13-22
• Serial:
  • Journal of Transportation and Statistics
  • Volume: 8
  • Issue Number: 1
  • Publisher: Research and Innovative Technology Administration
  • ISSN: 1094-8848
  • Serial URL: http://www.bts.gov/publications/journal_of_transportation_and_statistics/

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Air traffic; Airports; Forecasting; Passenger traffic; Time series
• Identifier Terms: Swissair; Terrorist attacks of September 11, 2001
• Uncontrolled Terms: Structural time series
• Geographic Terms: Basel (Switzerland); Geneva (Switzerland); Switzerland; Zurich (Switzerland)
• Subject Areas: Aviation; Planning and Forecasting; Terminals and Facilities;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 01004178
• Record Type: Publication
• Files: TRIS
• Created Date: Sep 15 2005 8:46AM