A THEORETICAL MATH MODEL FOR PROJECTING AIS3+ THORACIC INJURY FOR BELTED OCCUPANTS IN FRONTAL IMPACTS

A theoretical mathematics model was developed for utilization in Canada to project the next twenty-five years of thoracic injuries in that nation. The model was developed to evaluate the overall effect of evolving system designs vs. aging population from a thoracic injury potential standpoint. The research included only front-outboard, properly seat belted adult vehicle occupants in 11-1 o'clock head on collisions. The study contained four steps: (1) development of sub-models which involved population growth, fleet penetration of different systems, traffic accident involvement, and injury risk estimation. (2) Current accident data were utilized to estimate the number of AIS+3 chest injured drivers in Canada in the year 2001. (3) The projection model was favorably correlated with the field estimate for the year 2001. (4) A projection was made to estimate the long-term impact of eliminating designs that would not agree with the proposed CMVSS 208. It was found that 764 vehicle occupants would benefit from the 25 year proposed regulation.

Language

  • English

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Filing Info

  • Accession Number: 00988837
  • Record Type: Publication
  • ISBN: 0768014468
  • Report/Paper Numbers: 2004-22-0020
  • Files: TRIS
  • Created Date: Apr 19 2005 12:00AM