A THEORETICAL MATH MODEL FOR PROJECTING AIS3+ THORACIC INJURY FOR BELTED OCCUPANTS IN FRONTAL IMPACTS

A theoretical mathematics model was developed for utilization in Canada to project the next twenty-five years of thoracic injuries in that nation. The model was developed to evaluate the overall effect of evolving system designs vs. aging population from a thoracic injury potential standpoint. The research included only front-outboard, properly seat belted adult vehicle occupants in 11-1 o'clock head on collisions. The study contained four steps: (1) development of sub-models which involved population growth, fleet penetration of different systems, traffic accident involvement, and injury risk estimation. (2) Current accident data were utilized to estimate the number of AIS+3 chest injured drivers in Canada in the year 2001. (3) The projection model was favorably correlated with the field estimate for the year 2001. (4) A projection was made to estimate the long-term impact of eliminating designs that would not agree with the proposed CMVSS 208. It was found that 764 vehicle occupants would benefit from the 25 year proposed regulation.

• Availability:
  • Find a library where document is available. Order URL: http://worldcat.org/oclc/1640206
• Corporate Authors:

  Society of Automotive Engineers (SAE)

  400 Commonwealth Drive
  Warrendale, PA  United States  15096
• Authors:
  • Laituri, Tony R
  • Sullivan, D
  • Sullivan, K
  • Prasad, P
• Publication Date: 2004-11

Language

• English

Media Info

• Features: Appendices; Figures; References; Tables;
• Pagination: p. 455-477
• Serial:
  • Stapp Car Crash Journal
  • Volume: 48
  • Publisher: Society of Automotive Engineers (SAE)
  • ISSN: 1532-8546
  • Serial URL: http://www.stapp.org/pubs.shtml

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Aging (Biology); Crash data; Crash injuries; Crash injury research; Estimates; Forecasting; Frontal crashes; Future; Injury severity; Mathematical models; Population growth; Regulation; Risk assessment; Seat belts; Thorax; Traffic crashes; Vehicle occupants
• Geographic Terms: Canada
• Subject Areas: Environment; Highways; Passenger Transportation; Research; Safety and Human Factors; I84: Personal Injuries;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00988837
• Record Type: Publication
• ISBN: 0768014468
• Report/Paper Numbers: 2004-22-0020
• Files: TRIS
• Created Date: Apr 19 2005 12:00AM