PREDICTING AND MONITORING CASUALTY NUMBERS IN GREAT BRITAIN

This paper presents analyses and forcasts of trends related to road traffic and pedestrian casualties and fatalities in Great Britain. For people killed and seriously injured, these forecasts are based on extrapolation of the absolute of the absolute number of casualties. For casualties classified as slight, forecasts are made of the rate of casualties per 100 million vehicle-kilometers. Forecasts, using autoregressive models, are then compared with government targets and show that at the aggregate level it is unlikely that, for the numbers that are killed or seriously injured, these targets will be achieved.

  • Availability:
  • Corporate Authors:

    Research and Innovative Technology Administration

    Bureau of Transportation Statistics, 1200 New Jersey Avenue, SE
    Washington, DC  United States  20590
  • Authors:
    • Raeside, R
  • Publication Date: 2004

Language

  • English

Media Info

Subject/Index Terms

Filing Info

  • Accession Number: 00986782
  • Record Type: Publication
  • Files: TRIS, ATRI, USDOT
  • Created Date: Feb 16 2005 12:00AM