HIGHWAY TRAFFIC STATE ESTIMATION USING IMPROVED MIXTURE KALMAN FILTERS FOR EFFECTIVE RAMP METERING CONTROL

A cell transmission model-based switching state-space model was used to estimate vehicle densities and congestion modes at unmeasured locations on a highway section. The mixture Kalman filter algorithm, based on a sequential Monte Carlo method, is used to approximately solve the difficult problem of inference on a switching state-space model with an unobserved discrete state. The authors propose a scheme to prevent the risk of weight underflow and to introduce forgetting. Estimation results show that comparable accuracies can be achieved using either a small or large number of sampling sequences, thus making it possible to carry out efficient online filtering. Underflow prevention and forgetting improves estimation accuracy in the examples provided. On average, a mean percentage error of approximately 10% is achieved for the vehicle density estimation. The estimation performance is consistent with data sets from various days.

Language

  • English

Media Info

  • Features: References;
  • Pagination: p. 6333-38
  • Serial:
    • Volume: 3

Subject/Index Terms

Filing Info

  • Accession Number: 00979110
  • Record Type: Publication
  • ISBN: 0780379241
  • Files: TRIS
  • Created Date: Sep 17 2004 12:00AM