A testing procedure is suggested for comparing historical time series records against responses generated by a simulation model. Time series models are identified and their parameters estimated for both the historical and simulated data. The models are then tested for differences in their means, autoregressive parameters, and residual variances employing Bayesian arguments. The procedure suggested is emphasized as a diagnostic instrument useful for validation, and for suggesting iterative modifications of a simulation model. Applications of the procedure are illustrated by an example involving air traffic control communications.

  • Corporate Authors:

    Institute of Management Sciences

    146 Westminster Street
    Providence, RI  United States  02903
  • Authors:
    • Hsu, D A
    • Hunter, J S
  • Publication Date: 1977-10

Media Info

  • Features: References;
  • Pagination: p. 181-190
  • Serial:

Subject/Index Terms

Filing Info

  • Accession Number: 00176639
  • Record Type: Publication
  • Source Agency: Engineering Index
  • Files: TRIS
  • Created Date: Jun 28 1978 12:00AM