Looking at the next two decades the concern is whether the production of kerosene from petroleum will be sufficient to meet the expected air transport sector demand. Since the 1973/74 fuel crisis, aviation in general has made considerable efforts to limit the growth of fuel consumption. The benefits of energy-efficient aircraft will not be felt to any significant degree for at least a decade. Part of the air transport industry's problem is that it is completely reliant on hydrocarbon fuels, and the two most frequently postulated methods of reducing hydrocarbon consumption appear to have serious drawbacks. An analysis of recent past trends in aviation fuel consumption is presented in both tabular and graphic form. There are four basic options to meet the anticipated shortages of petroleum in the long term: Division of oil to specific uses; developing new generations of low-fuel-use vehicles; synthesis of hydrocarbon fuels from coal or shale; and, introduction of alternative fuels. It is expected that supplies for the air transport industry will not be a problem during the next ten years. Beyond 1985 there could be some scarcity of crude oil. To meet this challenge, there will have to be diversion of petroleum resources to particular preferred sectors, including air transportation, combined with the development of large-scale synthesis of liquid hydrocarbon fuels.

  • Availability:
  • Supplemental Notes:
    • This article is based on two papers--The Availability of Jet Fuel Over the Next Two Decades by C.P. Dalton presented at IATAAGM, Madrid, 1977, and Have Energy will Travel by J.E. Allen presented at Royal Aeronatucal Society's 15th Anglo-American Conference, London, 1977.
  • Publication Date: 1978-1

Media Info

  • Pagination: p. 39-42
  • Serial:
    • Interavia
    • Volume: 33
    • Publisher: Jane's Information Group
    • ISSN: 0020-5168

Subject/Index Terms

Filing Info

  • Accession Number: 00173833
  • Record Type: Publication
  • Source Agency: Interavia
  • Files: TRIS
  • Created Date: Jul 29 1978 12:00AM