SCENARIOS OF AIR TRANSPORT DEVELOPMENT TO 1990 BY SMIC 74 -- A NEW CROSS-IMPACT METHOD

The purpose of this paper is to describe the results of the application of the SMIC 74 method to a study of air transport development in the Paris area to 1990. SMIC 74 is a new cross-impact method that provides three kinds of results: (a) Consistent information on the events that may occur and influence the evolution of air transport: (b) cardinal ranking of the possible air transport development scenarios: and (c) sensitivity analysis. This method helps the decision-maker to choose between alternative strategies.

• Availability:
  • Find a library where document is available. Order URL: http://worldcat.org/issn/00401625
• Corporate Authors:

  Elsevier Publishing Company, Incorporated

  52 Vanderbilt Avenue
  New York, NY  United States  10017
• Authors:
  • Godet, M
• Publication Date: 1976

Media Info

• Features: References;
• Pagination: p. 279-288
• Serial:
  • Technological Forecasting and Social Change
  • Volume: 9
  • Issue Number: 3
  • Publisher: Elsevier Science Publishing Company, Incorporated
  • ISSN: 0040-1625
  • Serial URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/journal/00401625

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Air transportation; Decision making; Probability; Sensitivity analysis; Technological forecasting
• Subject Areas: Aviation; Data and Information Technology; Planning and Forecasting;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00172760
• Record Type: Publication
• Source Agency: Engineering Index
• Files: TRIS
• Created Date: Apr 12 1978 12:00AM