AUTOMOTIVE ENERGY USE: A BASELINE PROJECTION FOR NEW YORK STATE
A baseline projection of vehicle fuel usage for each large metropolitan area in New York State is developed in this paper. The purpose of this effort is to investigate the effect of the following factors on fuel usage: (1) increase of driving age population; (2) increase in auto ownership levels; (3) improvements in fuel efficiency of the car fleet; and (4) changes in miles driven per vehicle. These factors are analyzed for four alternate conditions of annual mileage driven per vehicle. The short term (five year) and long term (10-15 year) effects on demand for highway fuel usage in New York State are determined from this analysis. Results showed that recent annual increases expected in vehicle miles of travel can be sustained while still realizing significant reductions in total fuel usage (from current levels) due to increasingly fuel efficient cars. Under the condition of "two percent annual growth" in travel per vehicle during the 1975-90 period. One billion gallons of fuel will be "saved" in 1990 compared to fuel used for 1975 travel in New York State. Under the condition of "no growth" in annual VMT per vehicle, two billion gallons less fuel--about 40 percent less--will be required for 1990 travel. During this same period of time an additional one million residents of driving age and 1.2 million vehicles are anticipated in New York State. /Author/
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Corporate Authors:
New York State Department of Transportation
Planning Division, State Campus, Building 4
Albany, NY United States 12232 -
Authors:
- Gooding, D I
- Publication Date: 1977-8
Media Info
- Features: Figures; References; Tables;
- Pagination: 47 p.
Subject/Index Terms
- TRT Terms: Age; Automobile ownership; Drivers; Energy; Forecasting; Fuel consumption; Urban transportation; Vehicle miles of travel
- Uncontrolled Terms: Driver age
- Subject Areas: Energy; Highways; Operations and Traffic Management;
Filing Info
- Accession Number: 00179034
- Record Type: Publication
- Report/Paper Numbers: Res. Rpt. 124
- Files: TRIS, STATEDOT
- Created Date: Jul 29 1978 12:00AM