RAILROAD COST FORECASTING
An investigation into the forecasting of changes in railway costs is reported. This investigation is comprised of two stages. The first is a conceptual discussion of major factors influencing cost changes and the techniques for forecasting such changes. The second stage involves the application of specific techniques to the prediction of four different basic cost series: diesel fuel, real average weekly earnings, "traffic" expenses, and "transportation" expenses. Both the Box-Jenkins methodology and deterministic curve fitting are utilized in this stage. An analysis of this work and an overall summary conclude the paper. A selected bibliography is included.
Canadian Institute of Guided Ground TransportQueen's University
Kingston, Ontario K7L 3N6, Canada
- Daub, M
- Publication Date: 1977-4
- Features: Appendices; Figures; Tables;
- Pagination: 32 p.
- TRT Terms: Analysis; Costs; Diesel fuels; Forecasting; Inflation; Mathematical models; Operating costs; Wages
- Uncontrolled Terms: Cost analysis
- Old TRIS Terms: Analytical techniques
- Subject Areas: Economics; Finance; Railroads;
- Accession Number: 00176667
- Record Type: Publication
- Source Agency: Canadian Institute of Guided Ground Transport
- Report/Paper Numbers: CIGGT-77-8 Final Rpt.
- Files: TRIS
- Created Date: May 31 1978 12:00AM