ELSA: AN ELECTRIC POWER SUPPLY ANALYSIS MODEL FOR THE PACIFIC NORTHWEST

Battelle, Pacific Northwest Laboratory (PNL) is conducting a program to help assess impacts of energy-related developments through the year 2025 in six northwestern states--Washington, Oregon, Idaho, Montana, Wyoming and Alaska. ELSA (Electric Power Supply Analysis Model), one component of this overall program, is a simulation model of the electric supply system in the Pacific Northwest designed to better define future effects of electrical developments. It permits the analyst to examine the structure of the electric utility industry, to postulate possible scenarios and policy decisions, and to test their effect on the cost and availability of power. ELSA is divided into three major sectors: production, regulatory, and construction. The production sector uses the installed generating capacity of five types of facilities (hydroelectric, nuclear, coal-fired, oil-fired, and combustion turbines) and the requirements for electricity to compute the electrical reserve capacity and the system load factor. The regulatory sector uses information from the production sector and a number of exogenous variables such as capital costs, fuel costs, and tax rates to determine the price of electricity as well as other financial variables. The construction sector performs three major functions: (1) forecasts the amount of new construction needed, (2) determines the amount of new construction that can be financed, and (3) decides the types of new generating capacity which should be initiated. Future work with ELSA is described. (ERA citation 02:060029)

• Corporate Authors:

  Batelle Memorial Institute/Pacific Northwest Labs

  Battelle Boulevard, P.O. Box 999
  Richland, WA  United States  99352

  Energy Research and Development Administration

  20 Massachusetts Avenue, NW
  Washington, DC  United States  20590
• Authors:
  • Harrington, T P
  • Jacobsen, J J
• Publication Date: 1976-11

Media Info

• Pagination: 103 p.

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Coal; Coal industry; Coding systems; Consumption rates; Costs; Decision making; Demand; Electric power; Electric power generation; Energy; Energy consumption; Energy resources; Equipment; Financing; Forecasting; Fossil fuel power plants; Freight traffic; Hydroelectric plants; Hydroelectric power generation; Injury severity; Mathematical models; Nuclear power plants; Policy; Public utilities; Regional analysis; Regulations; Supply; Taxes; Thermal power plants; Traffic forecasting
• Uncontrolled Terms: Availability; Computer codes; Utilities
• Geographic Terms: Alaska; Idaho; Washington (State); Western States; Wyoming
• Old TRIS Terms: Bonneville power administration; E codes; Energy demand; Energy models
• Subject Areas: Energy; Finance; Freight Transportation; Law; Policy; Railroads;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00174520
• Record Type: Publication
• Source Agency: National Technical Information Service
• Contract Numbers: EY-76-C-06-1830
• Files: TRIS
• Created Date: Mar 14 1978 12:00AM