AN ANALYTICAL DETERMINATION OF MAXIMUM TRAFFIC GROWTH

DETERMINAZIONE ANALITICA DEL LIMITE SUPERIORE DI MOTORIZZAZIONE

In this article a new method is presented for the mathematical determination of logic equation parameters as applied to the forecasting of traffic growth. The equation is based on the limited logic curve of Verhulst, Pearl and Reed, which postulates the increase of a generic population in terms of the hypothesis that this increase is a geometric progression through time and is opposed by a certain resistance. This resistance consists mainly of limitations to means of subsistence, and is directly proportional to the square of the population in question. As an example the method is applied to traffic growth in Italy between 1950 and 1974. /TRRL/

• Corporate Authors:

  Casa Editrice la fiaccola

  Via Carlo Ravizza 62
  Milano,   Italy 
• Authors:
  • Daotto, E
• Publication Date: 1976-3

Language

• Italian

Media Info

• Features: Figures; Tables;
• Pagination: p. 251-265
• Serial:
  • Rivista della Strada
  • Volume: 45
  • Publisher: Casa Editrice la fiaccola

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Analysis; Economic growth; Forecasting; Mathematical models; Traffic; Traffic forecasting; Urban growth
• Uncontrolled Terms: Growth rate
• Geographic Terms: Italy
• Old TRIS Terms: Analytical method
• ITRD Terms: 9013: Development; 132: Forecast; 265: Growth rate; 8051: Italy; 6473: Mathematical model; 755: Traffic
• Subject Areas: Economics; Highways; Operations and Traffic Management; Planning and Forecasting; I72: Traffic and Transport Planning;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00148023
• Record Type: Publication
• Source Agency: Transport and Road Research Laboratory (TRRL)
• Files: ITRD, TRIS
• Created Date: Apr 27 1977 12:00AM