AN ANALYSIS OF THE EFFECTS OF CAR AND FUEL TAXES ON CO2 EMISSIONS IN JAPAN AND GERMANY

This study presents the formulation of a model system to analyze the effects of car-related taxes for the cases of Japan and Germany. In particular, the model examines the changes in car fleet composition, the total carbon dioxide (CO2) emissions, and the tax revenues due to different car and fuel taxation schemes. The model system is comprised of choice models designed to determine the effects of varying the weights of tax rates in the different stages of car ownership, the change in vehicle class and age mix, and road users' driving pattern, car class choice and behavior towards car disposal. The analysis conducted for the case of Japan highlights the effects of tax reform in 1989; a model sensitivity test is conducted by forecasting different taxation scenarios. Preliminary analyses for the case of Germany includes the impact of the drop in fuel prices in 1985 and the lower car tax introduced along with the ECE 15/04 standards in 1986. The comparison of the modeling parameters between the models for Japan and Germany, and the sensitivity analysis of the model for Japan identify the general effects of car and fuel taxes. Based on these results, the authors propose the use of a "spiral" taxation scheme in order to optimize the combined effects of car-related taxes.

• Record URL:
  http://onlinepubs.trb.org/onlinepubs/conf/asilomar.pdf
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  • Find a library where document is available. Order URL: http://worldcat.org/isbn/0309085713
• Supplemental Notes:
  • Distribution, posting, or copying of this PDF is strictly prohibited without written permission of the Transportation Research Board of the National Academy of Sciences. Unless otherwise indicated, all materials in this PDF are copyrighted by the National Academy of Sciences. Copyright © National Academy of Sciences. All rights reserved
• Corporate Authors:

  Transportation Research Board

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  Washington, DC  United States  20001
• Authors:
  • HAYASHI, Y
  • KATO, H
  • TEODORO, RVR
• Conference:
  • Transportation, Energy, and Environmental Policy: Managing Transitions
  • Location: Monterey, California
  • Date: 2001-9-11 to 2001-9-12
• Publication Date: 2003

Language

• English

Media Info

• Features: Figures; References; Tables;
• Pagination: p. 229-250

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Carbon dioxide; Choice models; Fuel taxes; Motor vehicles; Revenues; Sensitivity analysis; Taxation; Taxes; Vehicle mix
• Geographic Terms: Germany; Japan
• Subject Areas: Finance; Highways; Planning and Forecasting; Public Transportation; I72: Traffic and Transport Planning;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00962794
• Record Type: Publication
• ISBN: 0309085713
• Files: TRIS, TRB
• Created Date: Sep 5 2003 12:00AM