FORECASTS OF LAND-USE RELATED DATA AND THE EFFECTS ON MOBILITY

PROGNOSES VAN RUIMTEGEBONDEN DATA EN DE EFFECTEN OP MOBILITEIT

The Land Use Planner is a national spatial information system for the Netherlands, which integrates spatial data and forecasts to simulate future land use. In this paper, the Land Use Planner is used to generate spatial data for the Dutch National Model System (NMS). Land use is forecasted for one of three long-term economic scenarios of the Dutch Central Planning Bureau (CPB): the 'European Coordination' scenario. The added value to the existing methodology for generating spatial data consists of: (i) the allocation of inhabitants and jobs on a detailed level (500 by 500 meter areas); (ii) the relationship between the number of inhabitants and jobs, their demand for space and the total amount of avaflable space; and (iii) of the calculations which are computerized and (more) reproducible. Although the methodology used does not allow very strong conclusions, it appears that by expliciting the interaction between space demand and supply, another spatial differentiation of living and working is forecasted. This results in changes in the spatial differentiation of traffic flows and changes in the total passenger mobility, that are not as strong. For the covering abstract of the conference see IRRD E203386.

• Corporate Authors:

  Colloguium Vervoersplanologisch Speurwerk

  P.O. Box 45
  Delft,   Netherlands 
• Authors:
  • Geurs, Karst
  • SCHOTTEN, K
  • VIJVERBERG, A
• Conference:
  • COLLOQUIUM VERVOERSPLANOLOGISCH SPEURWERK 1998: STUREN MET STRUCTUREN: BUNDELING VAN BIJDRAGEN AAN HET COLLOQUIUM GEHOUDEN TE DELFT, 12 EN 13 NOVEMBER 1998. DEEL 3
• Publication Date: 1998

Language

• Dutch

Media Info

• Features: References;
• Pagination: p. 1051-70

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Computer programs; Conferences; Forecasting; Land use; Mathematical models; Mobility; Planning; Population; Residential areas; Simulation; Traffic flow; Workplaces
• Geographic Terms: Netherlands
• ITRD Terms: 8525: Conference; 132: Forecast; 356: Land use; 6473: Mathematical model; 9105: Mobility (pers); 8078: Netherlands; 143: Planning; 335: Population; 307: Residential area; 9103: Simulation; 8645: Software; 671: Traffic flow; 300: Workplace
• Subject Areas: Planning and Forecasting; Society;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00797911
• Record Type: Publication
• Source Agency: Institute for Road Safety Research, SWOV
• Files: ITRD
• Created Date: Sep 8 2000 12:00AM