OLDER CARS ARE SAFER
In this paper, the partial relationship between automobile age and risk is studied by means of logistic regression as applied to a large insurance policy data set of more than 211,000 records. Annual mileage and car owner's gender, age, and province of residence are controlled for. Contrary to expectations, the analysis reveals a negative relationship between automobile age and risk. Older cars sustain fewer liability damage accidents, and also fewer injury accidents, than do new cars, other factors being equal. It is thought that this is due to risk compensation (offsetting behavior). Findings presented may have important implications for the cost (in)effectiveness of periodic motor vehicle inspection.
-
Availability:
- Find a library where document is available. Order URL: http://worldcat.org/issn/1102626X
-
Corporate Authors:
PTRC Education and Research Services Limited
Glenthorne House, Hammersmith Grove
London W6OL9, England -
Authors:
- Fosser, S
- Christensen, P
- FRIDSTROM, L
-
Conference:
- Traffic Safety on Two Continents
- Location: Malmo, Sweden
- Date: 1999-9-20 to 1999-9-22
- Publication Date: 2000
Language
- English
Media Info
- Features: Figures; References; Tables;
- Pagination: p. 243-251
-
Serial:
- Publication of: Swedish National Road and Transport Research Institute
- Publisher: Swedish National Road and Transport Research Institute (VTI)
- ISSN: 0347-6030
Subject/Index Terms
- TRT Terms: Age; Automobile driving; Automobiles; Conferences; Crash rates; Crash risk forecasting; Gender; Regression analysis; Sets; Traffic safety; Vehicle safety
- Uncontrolled Terms: Annual mileage; Motor vehicle inspection; Older motor vehicles
- Subject Areas: Data and Information Technology; Highways; Safety and Human Factors; Society; Vehicles and Equipment; I80: Accident Studies; I91: Vehicle Design and Safety;
Filing Info
- Accession Number: 00796102
- Record Type: Publication
- Report/Paper Numbers: VTI konferens 13A, Part 1
- Files: TRIS, ATRI
- Created Date: Jul 29 2000 12:00AM