PROJECT DYNAMOS. DYNAMIC MODELLING AS A METHOD OF TRAFFIC FORECASTING, REPRESENTED BY THE EXAMPLE OF THE HIGH-SPEED RAILWAY

PROJEKT DYNAMOS. DIE DYNAMISCHE MODELLIERUNG ALS METHODE DER VERKEHRSPROGNOSE, DARGESTELLT AM BEISPIEL DER HOCHLEISTUNGSSCHNELLBAHN (HSB)

For the federal republic there is in hand a survey-orientated global, regional and modal split related forecast for person and goods trips up to 1990 in the shape of the diw-long term forecast. On the basis of the global increase values an investigation is being made into the modal split of person and goods trips up to 1995 for a small area of the federal republic with the help of dynamic modelling. Particular value is placed upon the feedback of decision-relative parameters and the temporal variation of these parameters. Additionally there follows the inclusion of a high-speed railway system by which may be examined how far the inclusion of the high-speed railway alters the modal split and if such a railway can operate economically with balanced results. So far both the method and the contents of the study have been considered.

• Corporate Authors:

  Dr Arthur Tetzlaff Verlag

  Niddastrasse 64
  Frankfurt am Main,   Germany 
• Publication Date: 1976-7-8

Language

• German

Media Info

• Pagination: p. 191-193
• Serial:
  • INTERNATIONALES VERKEHRSWESEN
  • Volume: 28
  • Issue Number: 7-8

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Benefit cost analysis; Forecasting; Freight traffic; High speed rail; Mathematical models; Modal split; Passengers; Traffic forecasting; Transportation policy; Travel demand
• Geographic Terms: Germany; United States
• Old TRIS Terms: National transportation policies
• ITRD Terms: 226: Cost benefit analysis; 285: Demand (econ); 132: Forecast; 1112: Freight transport; 8125: Germany; 9102: Method; 675: Modal split; 6205: Model (not math); 221: Operating costs; 1181: Rapid transit system; 8559: Research report
• Subject Areas: Data and Information Technology; Freight Transportation; Passenger Transportation; Policy; Railroads;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00170022
• Record Type: Publication
• Source Agency: Bundesanstalt für Straßenwesen (BASt)
• Report/Paper Numbers: Analytic
• Files: ITRD, TRIS
• Created Date: Jan 30 1978 12:00AM