FORECASTING CAR OWNERSHIP: A NEW APPROACH - PART 1

The article describes and criticises the two main approaches to forecasting car ownership used in Great Britain. It concludes that they produce very different results and that neither is altogether satisfactory for producing national car ownership forecasts. Arising from these criticisms it suggests an alternative approach combining the best features of each of the current main techniques and emphasises the need to take car use into account in estimating ownership. In part 2 of the article to be published in the September issue, national car ownership forecasts using such a model will be presented and their consequences discussed.(a) /TRRL/

  • Availability:
  • Corporate Authors:

    Printerhall Limited

    29 Newmart Street
    London W1P 3PE,   England 
  • Authors:
    • Mullen, P
    • White, M
  • Publication Date: 1977-7-8

Media Info

Subject/Index Terms

Filing Info

  • Accession Number: 00165604
  • Record Type: Publication
  • Source Agency: Transport and Road Research Laboratory (TRRL)
  • Report/Paper Numbers: Analytic
  • Files: ITRD, TRIS
  • Created Date: Feb 16 1978 12:00AM