PATRONAGE ESTIMATION FOR STREET PUBLIC TRANSPORT

There is a need for public transport operators to have an accurate estimate of patronage levels for any proposed new route. The high costs involved in establishing new routes, requires that the limited funds available to operators for improvements are allocated in a rational way. An accurate estimate of the potential patronage is the first step to ensure this. This paper reviews current methods for patronage estimation. Large public operators have used the results of metropolitan-wide, land-use and transportation models to highlight deficiencies in their networks. Some problems from the operators viewpoint in using this type of forecast are described. The development of alternative methods for patronage estimation is outlined. The adaptation of the four-step modelling approach to transport planning is discussed together with the possible use of both direct demand and disaggregate behavioural models. Details are given of the application of these techniques to a case study. The suitability of the models to more general applications is outlined. /TRRL/

• Supplemental Notes:
  • Proceeding of the 3rd Annual Meeting of the Australian Transport Research Forum--"Getting the Best Use From the Transport Infrastructure" Melbourne, Australia, May 24-25, 1977.
• Corporate Authors:

  VICTORIA MINISTRY OF TRANSPORT

  MELBOURNE,    
• Authors:
  • White, C J
  • KINNEAR, R L
• Publication Date: 1977-5

Language

• English

Media Info

• Features: Figures; References; Tables;
• Pagination: 18 p.

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Behavior; Conferences; Demand responsive transportation; Digital computers; Digital simulation; Economic factors; Estimating; Forecasting; Mathematical models; Public transit; Ridership; Transportation; Transportation modes; Transportation planning; Vehicle occupants
• Uncontrolled Terms: Models; Selection; Transportation models; Use
• Old TRIS Terms: Economic considerations
• ITRD Terms: 8525: Conference; 6483: Digital model; 132: Forecast; 744: Public transport; 9072: Selection; 1145: Transport mode; 9084: Use; 1715: Vehicle occupant
• Subject Areas: Economics; Planning and Forecasting; Society; Transportation (General); I72: Traffic and Transport Planning;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00165575
• Record Type: Publication
• Source Agency: Transport and Road Research Laboratory (TRRL)
• Report/Paper Numbers: Proceeding
• Files: ITRD, TRIS, ATRI
• Created Date: Jun 14 1981 12:00AM