Traditional air passenger forecasting has been done for single airport regions generally by estimating a region's share of a national forecast. This method is inadequate in a multiairport region where forecasts must be distributed geographically. In the Washington-Baltimore region, a method similar to that used in ground transportation planning was applied. A share of the market forecast was developed based on a national forecast by using real yield, per capita disposable income, and government purchases as independent variables. Another forecast was completed based on an on-board origin-destination survey and regional socioeconomic data, including population, government employment, nongovernment employment, and per capita income. The 2 forecasts were then adjusted to provide air passenger trip generation by aviation analysis zone. This forecast was then distributed to other U.S. cities based on an analysis of socioeconomic data for Office of Business Economics analysis areas, including manufacturing product and wholesale and retail trade product. The result was forecasts from aviation analysis zone to other U.S. city for use in distribution. /Author/

Media Info

  • Media Type: Print
  • Features: Figures; References; Tables;
  • Pagination: pp 1-5
  • Monograph Title: Airport and air transport planning
  • Serial:

Subject/Index Terms

Filing Info

  • Accession Number: 00159708
  • Record Type: Publication
  • ISBN: 0309025540
  • Files: TRIS, TRB
  • Created Date: Sep 20 1977 12:00AM