While it is noted that there is no master checklist of all variables that may affect individual airports, there are some elements common to all good airport forecasts: correlation analyses of relationships between traffic and basic socioeconomic indicators; quantitative projection of these indicators; and judgement. The various factors affecting correlation analyses for air passengers are listed. Good judgement is needed to select the best types and specific parameters of mathematical curves (the most common types are listed) to be used. Long-term growth trends in population, GNP, and electricity output by utilities for public use, and airline domestic and international passenger-miles in scheduled service are illustrated and discussed. The problem of discontinuities is discussed, as well as the positive and negative factors in the travel market. Comments are made on forecasting design parameters, and a strategy is suggested for coping with the uncertainty of the future.

  • Availability:
  • Corporate Authors:

    IPC Transport Press, Limited

    Dorset House, Stamford Street
    London SE1 9LU,   England 
  • Authors:
    • Bluestone, D W
  • Publication Date: 1975-5

Media Info

  • Pagination: p. 35-42
  • Serial:

Subject/Index Terms

Filing Info

  • Accession Number: 00155574
  • Record Type: Publication
  • Source Agency: Federal Aviation Administration
  • Files: TRIS, USDOT
  • Created Date: Aug 31 1977 12:00AM