USE OF MODELS FOR ANALYSIS OF PUBLIC TRANSPORT SYSTEMS

ANVAENDNINGEN AV MODELLER FOER ANALYS AV KOLLEKTIVTRAFIKSYSTEM

Because of the rapid increase in wages over the past few years, rational operation of buses is essential. There is a greater need for planning aids. Computer models have been produced for traffic volume forecasts which take into account choice of mode. Questions of interest which must be answered by investigations of public transport are 1. Which proposed traffic system best meets the specified objectives, 2. What will be the distribution between private and public transport as a result of the proposed traffic system. Choice of mode is influenced by a great number of factors; apart from car ownership, the standard of car travel in relation to that of public transport is of great importance. Traffic volume forecasts therefore estimate journey times for both cars and public transport. Models have been used for analysis of public transport and for estimation of journey times. The models have been tested by comparing estimated times with actual ones, and good agreement has been obtained. Use of the models in choice of mode forecasts has also given good accuracy in estimating journey times, but estimation of the actual distribution of modes has been less satisfactory due to the complexity of determining factors. /TRRL/

• Corporate Authors:

  Orrje and Company Scandiakonsult

  Fack
  10260 Stockholm,   Sweden 
• Authors:
  • Karlsson, R
• Publication Date: 1976

Language

• Swedish

Media Info

• Features: Figures; Photos;
• Pagination: p. 20-22
• Serial:
  • Orrjekontakt
  • Issue Number: 36

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Accuracy; Automobile ownership; Bus transportation; Buses; Forecasting; Mathematical models; Modal split; Mode choice; Physical distribution; Private enterprise; Private transportation; Public transit; Simulation; Testing; Traffic flow; Traffic forecasting; Traffic volume; Travel time; Trip length
• Uncontrolled Terms: Use
• Old TRIS Terms: Modal selection
• ITRD Terms: 132: Forecast; 697: Journey time; 6473: Mathematical model; 675: Modal split; 744: Public transport; 671: Traffic flow; 9084: Use
• Subject Areas: Freight Transportation; Highways; Motor Carriers; Operations and Traffic Management; Planning and Forecasting; Public Transportation; I71: Traffic Theory; I72: Traffic and Transport Planning;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00153311
• Record Type: Publication
• Source Agency: Swedish National Road and Transport Research Institute (VTI)
• Report/Paper Numbers: Analytic
• Files: ITRD, TRIS
• Created Date: Sep 20 1981 12:00AM