A GRAVITY MODEL FOR TRIP DISTRIBUTION

The model developed in this research is an extension of the modified gravity model. The specific zone to zone adjustment factor is introduced into the model in order to fit the model to the present pattern of trip distribution perfectly. The characteristics of the adjustment factor are analyzed by using the traffic data of Nagoya City in three years (in 1960, 1965 and 1970). The analysis of the change, with time, of the adjustment factor shows that the values of the factors distribute around 1.00 and tend to 1.00 with time where the development of the urban area is progressive. This finding is used in forecasting the adjustment factor. A test of model fitness was carried out using the data of work and school trips in Nagoya City in 1960, 1965 and 1970. The results of the test show the validity of the model as a forecasting tool. The model described is applicable to estimating traffic volume of each mode of transport, of each purpose and of each time of day. /TRRL/

• Availability:
  • Find a library where document is available. Order URL: http://worldcat.org/issn/02640325
• Supplemental Notes:
  • Transportation and Traffic Theory. Proceedings of the Sixth International Symposium on Transportation and Traffic Theory. University of New South Wales, Sydney, Australia, August 26-28, 1974.
• Corporate Authors:

  Elsevier

  Radarweg 29
  Amsterdam,   Netherlands  1043 NX
• Authors:
  • Kawakami, S
  • Buckley, D
• Publication Date: 1974

Language

• English

Media Info

• Features: Figures; References; Tables;
• Pagination: p. 327-343
• Serial:
  • ROYAL SOCIETY OF HEALTH JOURNAL
  • Publisher: RSH House
  • ISSN: 0264-0325

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Adjustment factors; Conferences; Equipment maintenance; Evaluation and assessment; Forecasting; Gravity models; Mathematical models; Origin and destination; Schools; Time; Transportation modes; Travel; Trip distribution; Urban development; Work trips
• Uncontrolled Terms: Equipment adjustment; Zone
• Geographic Terms: Asia; Japan
• ITRD Terms: 8005: Asia; 8525: Conference; 9020: Evaluation (assessment); 132: Forecast; 690: Gravity model; 8053: Japan; 698: Journey; 621: Journey to work; 6473: Mathematical model; 687: Origin destination traffic; 101: School; 5414: Time; 1145: Transport mode
• Subject Areas: Education and Training; Highways; Maintenance and Preservation; Operations and Traffic Management; Planning and Forecasting; Society; I71: Traffic Theory; I72: Traffic and Transport Planning;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00152927
• Record Type: Publication
• Source Agency: Transport and Road Research Laboratory (TRRL)
• Report/Paper Numbers: Proceeding
• Files: ITRD, TRIS
• Created Date: Jun 17 1977 12:00AM