AN ASSESSMENT OF THE POTENTIAL SATURATION IN MEN'S TRAVEL

This study addresses the hypothesis that male travel trends may be approaching or have reached saturation. The study examined the overall and gender-based trends in four indicators of travel (vehicle trips, vehicle miles of travel, person trips, and person miles of travel) as well as the trends in related factors, such as licensed drivers and household vehicle availability. In addition, the changes in average daily per person travel rates were analyzed for specific segments of the male population as defined by a selection of demographic, economic, and geographic characteristics that contribute to male travel. Results of the study reveal that total male travel has not indicated signs of stabilization, but has actually increased over time at an accelerated rate. However, analysis of the contributing characteristics shows that various segments of the male population did experience saturation in their average daily travel rates, especially for their person travel measures (trips and miles of travel on all modes). From these findings, it can be concluded that total male vehicle travel (trips and miles of travel driving a personal vehicle) has not yet exhibited signs of stabilized growth, and its future saturation can only be assumed based on the stability of the trends for licensed driver and household vehicle availability growth. It can also be concluded that the Nationwide Personal Transportation Survey (NPTS) data did not truly evidence the current saturation in total male person travel. However, the stability shown by the various segments of the male population for their average daily person travel rates indicates that the stabilization in total male person travel has already begun and should be more evident in subsequent NPTS data.

  • Supplemental Notes:
    • 1990 Nationwide Personal Transportation Survey (NPTS) Demographic Special Report. Prepared for the Office of Highway Information Management, HPM-40.
  • Corporate Authors:

    University of South Florida, Tampa

    Center for Urban Transportation Research, 4202 East Fowler Avenue
    Tampa, FL  United States  33620-5375

    Federal Highway Administration

    1200 New Jersey Avenue, SE
    Washington, DC  United States  20590
  • Authors:
    • Rey, J R
    • Polzin, S E
    • Bricka, S G
  • Publication Date: 1995-2

Language

  • English

Media Info

  • Features: Figures; References; Tables;
  • Pagination: 63 p.

Subject/Index Terms

Filing Info

  • Accession Number: 00766248
  • Record Type: Publication
  • Report/Paper Numbers: Demographic Special, Report
  • Files: TRIS, USDOT
  • Created Date: Jul 21 1999 12:00AM