INFLUENCING THE EXTENT OF MOTORISED TRAFFIC IN GREAT BRITAIN IN 2006

The paper investigates the effects on mileage by public and private transport in 2006 of various measures that have been proposed to restrain the use of the private car. Such restraint might be expected to result in certain environmental benefits, but it is not the purpose of the present paper to argue for such restraint, merely to assess the likely relative effectiveness of the various proposed measures. In order to do this a base 2006 projection for Great Britain was formed with each tested measure being shown as a deviation from this. The base 2006 projection is by no means a forecast. It merely attempts to project the 1985 to 1993 trends through to 2006, whereas it is already known that the government have implemented new policies (for instance the large cutback in the roads building programme and the 5% pa real increase in fuel duties). The two essential elements of the research project were the preparation of a 2006 base projection and the assessment of the likely effects on this of the various policy measures. The project used data from various NTS surveys, as discussed in section 2, to determine trip rates by person type. Projections of population by area type were derived from data supplied by OPCS and their Welsh and Scottish equivalents, supplemented by a breakdown into car available and car non-available persons, as explained in section 3. That section also explains how the trip rates by person type were projected. By combining the populations projections with the trip rate projections, the base mileage projections for 2006 were arrived at. For the covering abstract, see IRRD 889150.

• Availability:
  • Find a library where document is available. Order URL: http://worldcat.org/isbn/0860502929
• Corporate Authors:

  PTRC Education and Research Services Limited

  Glenthorne House, Hammersmith Grove
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• Authors:
  • FOWKES, T S
  • NASH, C A
  • MAY, T D
  • REES, P H
  • SIU, Y L
• Conference:
  • TRANSPORT POLICY AND ITS IMPLEMENTATION. PROCEEDINGS OF SEMINAR B HELD AT THE 24TH EUROPEAN TRANSPORT FORUM, BRUNEL UNIVERSITY, ENGLAND 2-6 SEPTEMBER 1996. VOLUME P402
• Publication Date: 1996

Language

• English

Media Info

• Features: References;
• Pagination: 15 p.

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Automobiles; Environmental protection; Federal government; Forecasting; Interviewing; Policy; Population; Private transportation; Public transit; Travel
• Uncontrolled Terms: Decreases
• Geographic Terms: United Kingdom
• ITRD Terms: 1243: Car; 9009: Decrease; 2444: Environment protection; 132: Forecast; 183: Government (national); 9147: Interview; 698: Journey; 173: Policy; 335: Population; 746: Private transport; 744: Public transport; 8119: United Kingdom
• Subject Areas: Environment; Policy; Public Transportation; Society;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00737427
• Record Type: Publication
• Source Agency: Transport Research Laboratory
• ISBN: 0-86050-292-9
• Files: ITRD
• Created Date: Jun 27 1997 12:00AM