TRAFFIC FORECASTS FOR THE ORESUND FIXED LINK

The cities of Copenhagen and Malmo, in Denmark and Sweden respectively, are separated by the Oresund, which connects the Baltic to the North Sea. The Swedish and Danish governments are in the process of constructing a sixteen kilometre fixed link (part tunnel, part bridge) to provide a new alternative to existing ferry services. There are seven ferry services crossing the immediate straits and a further thirty ferry services serving longer distance movements. In combination with the Great Belt crossing, the new fixed link will allow direct movements between Scandinavia and mainland Europe. The study is to provide a land use and traffic forecasting model capable of exploring the effects of different pricing strategies, land use and variations in exogenous variables. Particular attention is paid to the interaction between traffic and land use, to the estimation of induced traffic and the integration of local cross-border economies. The traffic forecasts include all passenger and freight movements with the potential to cross the Oresund, including movements between Scandinavia and the rest of Europe. Special attention is given to the adjacent regions in Denmark and Sweden. The long distance forecasts, in addition to car and train movements, also include air travel. An abstract only of this paper is published in the proceedings. For the covering abstract, see IRRD 887882.

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• Authors:
  • TERZIS, G
  • COPLEY, G
  • PEDERSEN, K S
  • BATES, J
  • Scheele, S
• Conference:
  • PAN-EUROPEAN TRANSPORT ISSUES. PROCEEDINGS OF SEMINAR A HELD AT THE 24TH EUROPEAN TRANSPORT FORUM, BRUNEL UNIVERSITY, ENGLAND, 2-6 SEPTEMBER 1996. VOLUME P401
• Publication Date: 1996

Language

• English

Media Info

• Features: References;
• Pagination: 8 p.

Subject/Index Terms

• TRT Terms: Bridges; Costs; Fixed routes; Forecasting; Land use; Mathematical models; Policy; Ships; Traffic; Trip generation; Underwater tunnels
• Geographic Terms: Denmark; Europe; Sweden
• ITRD Terms: 224: Cost; 8028: Denmark; 8034: Europe; 3363: Fixed link (transmaritime); 132: Forecast; 663: Generated traffic; 356: Land use; 6473: Mathematical model; 173: Policy; 1248: Ship; 8109: Sweden; 755: Traffic
• Subject Areas: Bridges and other structures; Finance; Marine Transportation; Operations and Traffic Management; Policy; Vehicles and Equipment;

Filing Info

• Accession Number: 00736353
• Record Type: Publication
• Source Agency: Transport Research Laboratory
• ISBN: 0-86050-291-0
• Files: ITRD
• Created Date: May 30 1997 12:00AM