REPORT ON PROBABILITY OF COLLISIONS ON SELECTED ROUTES. VOLUME I

Lifetime collision probability on two nuclear tanker routes and one nuclear container route were calculated based on route collision frequency obtained from the Liverpool Underwriters Casualty Returns for an eleven year period and a route density projection to 1990 performed by Planning Systems Inc. In calculating the probability the methodology developed in Ref. 7 was used to get the number of vessels to be found in a circular area of encounter travelling with the nuclear vessel. A model was obtained for the probability of collision on a given route for the lifetime of a nuclear vessel. Sensitivity studies were made for variations in nuclear vessel speed, speed of other vessels, and average density of ships in a given grid square of ocean, but not for the number of collisions per unit time in such grid square.

  • Supplemental Notes:
    • Sponsored in part by Babcock and Wilcox Co., Lynchburg, Va.
  • Corporate Authors:

    Sharp (George G) Incorporated

    100 Church Street
    New York, NY  USA  10007

    Maritime Administration

    1200 New Jersey Avenue, SE
    Washington, DC  USA  20590

    Babcock and Wilcox Company

    PO Box 1260
    Lynchburg, VA  USA  24504
  • Publication Date: 1976-9-30

Media Info

  • Pagination: 48 p.

Subject/Index Terms

Filing Info

  • Accession Number: 00151584
  • Record Type: Publication
  • Source Agency: National Technical Information Service
  • Report/Paper Numbers: MA-RD-920-77021 Final Rpt.
  • Contract Numbers: MA-5516t
  • Files: TRIS, USDOT
  • Created Date: Apr 13 1977 12:00AM