A PROTOTYPE SYSTEM FOR REAL-TIME INCIDENT LIKELIHOOD PREDICTION
In the first part of this Innovations Deserving Exploratory Analysis (IDEA) project, efforts were focused on developing and validating the freeway incident likelihood prediction models that form the core of a prototype system for real-time incident likelihood prediction. In the second part of the research, an incident likelihood prediction simulator was developed. This report describes the incorporation of the incident likelihood prediction models into the simulator. A traffic simulator (INTRAS) is used to generate the traffic characteristics (i.e., volume and speed) that are inputs to the freeway incident likelihood prediction models, whereas the environmental conditions are specified by the user. The simulator combines the sequential outputs from an existing incident detection algorithm and those of the incident likelihood prediction models through Bayesian updating.
- Record URL:
- Record URL:
- This ITS-IDEA project was conducted by Purdue University.
Washington, DC United States 20001
- Madanat, S
- Liu, P-C
- Publication Date: 1995-2-28
- Media Type: Digital/other
- Features: Figures; References; Tables;
- Pagination: 16 p.
- ITS-IDEA Program Project Final Report
- Publisher: Transportation Research Board
- TRT Terms: Algorithms; Forecasting; Incident detection; Intelligent transportation systems; Mathematical models; Prototypes; Real time control; Simulation; Technological innovations; Traffic incidents; Training simulators
- Uncontrolled Terms: Bayesian updating; Incidents
- Old TRIS Terms: Real-time systems
- Subject Areas: Bridges and other structures; Highways; Operations and Traffic Management; Safety and Human Factors; I73: Traffic Control;
- Accession Number: 00727272
- Record Type: Publication
- Contract Numbers: ITS-2
- Files: TRIS, TRB
- Created Date: Oct 14 1996 12:00AM