FORECAST GROWTH IN AIR TRAVEL: A QUART INTO A PINT POT?

In October 1994 the Royal Commission on Environmental Pollution presented to Parliament their report "Transport and the Environment" (IRRD 866965). In that report it was said that "(an) unquestioning attitude towards future growth in air travel, and an acceptance that the projected demand for additional facilities and services must be met" are incompatible with the aim of sustainable development. This paper reviews forecasts of future air traffic growth and the mechanism that underpins these forecasts. It continues by assessing the size and location of future capacity enhancements. The relationship between existing and future capacity and future demand is discussed. Two recently completed consultancy exercises, undertaken for local authorities assessing airport development proposals, are used as case studies to explore a number of questions, each of which are an integral part of the process of challenging the airport and airline industries belief in unrestrained growth. For the covering abstract see IRRD 879900.

Language

  • English

Media Info

  • Features: References;
  • Pagination: p. 37-51

Subject/Index Terms

Filing Info

  • Accession Number: 00724088
  • Record Type: Publication
  • Source Agency: Transport Research Laboratory
  • ISBN: 0-86050-286-4
  • Files: ITRD
  • Created Date: Aug 19 1996 12:00AM