ESTIMATING THE CONSEQUENCES OF ACCIDENTS: THE CASE OF AUTOMATIC TRAIN PROTECTION IN BRITAIN

This paper considers estimates of the number of fatalities per year on rail lines operated by British Railways that could be expected to be saved by the installation of automatic train protection, based on historical data. The authors' preferred estimate is 3.66 fatalities per year, with an estimated confidence interval of 1.44-5.89. It is possible to find orthodox probability distributions that fit the distribution of numbers of fatalities well. FN-graphs are not a suitable means of fitting such distributions.

  • Availability:
  • Corporate Authors:

    Elsevier

    The Boulevard, Langford Lane
    Kidlington, Oxford  United Kingdom  OX5 1GB
  • Authors:
    • EVANS, A W
    • VERLANDER, N Q
  • Publication Date: 1996-3

Language

  • English

Media Info

Subject/Index Terms

Filing Info

  • Accession Number: 00720349
  • Record Type: Publication
  • Report/Paper Numbers: HS-042 106
  • Files: TRIS, ATRI
  • Created Date: Apr 14 1996 12:00AM