SIMPLIFIED TRAVEL DEMAND FORECASTING: A COMPARISON OF APPLICATIONS IN DEVELOPED AND DEVELOPING COUNTRIES
This paper describes a simplified approach to the estimation of urban travel demands, within a structure that is directly responsive to the changing socio-demographic profile of expanding urban areas. This travel demand estimation model was first developed and applied to the case of Montreal, a metropolitan area of slow growth and an aging populace. This and earlier work clearly demonstrated the significance of demographic change for travel demand forecasting, and research has more recently been extended to apply the same model structure to cities in developing countries, where the importance of rapidly changing demographic characteristics can be expected to be much greater. Additional problems related to limited data availability must also be taken into account in model design.
Ottawa, Ontario Canada K1G 4J8
- RICE, R G
- Bussiere, Y
- 1995 TAC Annual Conference Proceedings. Volume 4 - Quality Management, Customer Satisfaction and Service, and Government Commercialization Sessions
- Location: Victoria, British Columbia, Canada
- Date: 1995-10-22 to 1995-10-25
- Publication Date: 1995
- Pagination: v.p.
- TRT Terms: Alternatives analysis; Cities; Demand; Developing countries; Economic forecasting; Travel demand; Urban travel
- Subject Areas: Economics; Highways; Operations and Traffic Management; Planning and Forecasting; I70: Traffic and Transport;
- Accession Number: 00720512
- Record Type: Publication
- Files: TRIS, ATRI
- Created Date: Apr 15 1996 12:00AM