The current trend toward declining numerical growth, levelling off of economic standards, and the deterioration of the urbanized areas are reviewed, evidence that the limits of the urban system will be determined by the travel time of citizens from residence to work is discussed, the need for shifting priorities and resources from the private car to transit and express busways is noted, and the need for recycling land use and the problems of transportation investment are emphasized and illustrated with two alternative scenarios. The first Scenario projects into the future by extension of current trends, instrumentalities and resources. Without a positive policy of disincentive for outward expansion, the trend of outward growth and migration from the older neighborhoods will continue. The second scenario anticipates the emergence of a high level of political sophistication, of a willingness to formulate and provide support for anticipatory interventions in preference to remidal ones, and the emergence of a high level of comprehensive rather than fragmented exploration, planning, and programming. This scenario has no categorical distinctions between plans for transportation and plans for recycling. Arbitrary divisions and allocations of responsibilities have been liquidated, and a single coordinated governance of the process of functioning and change within the urban system has been istituted. Details are briefly outlined of economic disincentives for outward expansion, a continuously updated master plan of urban processes, new systems of public transportation, a new implementation instrument - a neighborhood recycling corporation, and short-term, low cost improvements.

  • Availability:
  • Corporate Authors:

    Urban Land Institute

    1200 18th Street, NW
    Washington, DC  United States  20036
  • Authors:
    • Contini, E
  • Publication Date: 1976-4

Media Info

  • Features: Figures;
  • Pagination: p. 6-11
  • Serial:
    • Urban Land
    • Volume: 35
    • Issue Number: 4
    • Publisher: Urban Land Institute
    • ISSN: 0042-0891

Subject/Index Terms

Filing Info

  • Accession Number: 00134763
  • Record Type: Publication
  • Files: TRIS
  • Created Date: Jun 23 1981 12:00AM