ANALYSIS OF AUTOMATED HIGHWAY SYSTEM RISKS AND UNCERTAINTIES. VOLUME 5

This volume describes a risk analysis performed to help identify important Automated Highway System (AHS) deployment uncertainties and quantify their effect on costs, capacities and market penetrations for alternative AHS deployment scenarios. A systematic protocol was utilized for obtaining expert judgements of key factor uncertainties in the form of subjective probability percentile assessments. Based on these assessments, probability distributions on vehicle and roadway costs, capacity and market penetration were developed for the different scenarios. The cost/benefit risk methodology and analysis provide insights by showing how uncertainties in key factors translate into uncertainties in summary cost/benefit indices.

  • Supplemental Notes:
    • Sponsored by Department of Energy, Washington, DC.
  • Corporate Authors:

    Lawrence Livermore National Laboratory

    7000 East Avenue
    Livermore, CA  United States  94550
  • Authors:
    • Sicherman, A
  • Publication Date: 1994-10

Language

  • English

Media Info

  • Pagination: 51 p.

Subject/Index Terms

Filing Info

  • Accession Number: 00720932
  • Record Type: Publication
  • Report/Paper Numbers: UCRL-ID-121357
  • Files: TRIS
  • Created Date: May 8 1996 12:00AM